Preseason Rankings
Old Dominion
Conference USA
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#139
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.0#323
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#294
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#42
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 12.3% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 1.5% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.8 12.3 13.2
.500 or above 63.5% 81.2% 55.8%
.500 or above in Conference 70.4% 80.2% 66.1%
Conference Champion 10.8% 15.4% 8.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 1.6% 4.3%
First Four0.4% 1.0% 0.2%
First Round8.1% 11.8% 6.4%
Second Round1.5% 2.4% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Away) - 30.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 56 - 10
Quad 49 - 215 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 114   @ Northern Iowa L 57-62 31%    
  Nov 10, 2019 221   Saint Joseph's W 69-61 75%    
  Nov 13, 2019 209   Loyola Maryland W 70-63 74%    
  Nov 16, 2019 130   @ Northeastern L 61-65 37%    
  Nov 20, 2019 232   James Madison W 66-58 76%    
  Nov 25, 2019 151   George Mason W 65-64 52%    
  Dec 03, 2019 246   @ William & Mary W 68-65 60%    
  Dec 07, 2019 28   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 56-70 11%    
  Dec 14, 2019 42   @ Illinois L 62-75 14%    
  Dec 18, 2019 105   Richmond W 65-64 51%    
  Dec 22, 2019 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 53-33 96%    
  Jan 02, 2020 174   Middle Tennessee W 66-61 67%    
  Jan 04, 2020 140   UAB W 63-60 61%    
  Jan 11, 2020 276   @ Charlotte W 62-57 65%    
  Jan 16, 2020 76   @ Western Kentucky L 60-69 23%    
  Jan 18, 2020 188   @ Marshall W 72-71 50%    
  Jan 20, 2020 276   Charlotte W 65-54 81%    
  Jan 23, 2020 185   Florida International W 78-72 70%    
  Jan 25, 2020 163   Florida Atlantic W 64-60 65%    
  Jan 30, 2020 238   @ Southern Miss W 63-60 59%    
  Feb 01, 2020 116   @ Louisiana Tech L 60-65 33%    
  Feb 06, 2020 121   Texas San Antonio W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 08, 2020 169   UTEP W 64-59 65%    
  Feb 13, 2020 229   @ Rice W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 15, 2020 152   @ North Texas L 59-61 42%    
Projected Record 14 - 11 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 3.2 3.8 2.3 0.5 10.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 4.2 4.2 1.4 0.1 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.6 5.0 1.3 0.1 11.5 3rd
4th 0.1 3.1 5.7 1.6 0.1 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 5.6 2.5 0.1 9.3 5th
6th 0.3 4.1 3.9 0.4 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 2.0 5.1 1.0 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 4.3 2.3 0.1 7.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 3.4 0.5 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.4 1.2 0.0 5.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.0 0.1 4.3 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 3.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.3 3.3 5.1 8.2 11.3 13.1 14.2 14.4 11.8 8.8 5.2 2.4 0.5 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
13-1 96.1% 2.3    1.9 0.4 0.0
12-2 73.0% 3.8    2.1 1.5 0.2 0.0
11-3 36.2% 3.2    0.8 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
10-4 7.9% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
9-5 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 10.8% 10.8 5.3 3.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.5% 64.2% 41.0% 23.2% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 39.3%
13-1 2.4% 44.6% 34.4% 10.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 15.6%
12-2 5.2% 28.4% 25.4% 3.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.8 4.0%
11-3 8.8% 18.6% 18.1% 0.5% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.2 0.6%
10-4 11.8% 13.0% 12.8% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 10.3 0.2%
9-5 14.4% 7.8% 7.8% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 13.2
8-6 14.2% 4.0% 4.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 13.6
7-7 13.1% 2.5% 2.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.8
6-8 11.3% 1.2% 1.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.2
5-9 8.2% 0.6% 0.6% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
4-10 5.1% 0.5% 0.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 5.0
3-11 3.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
2-12 1.3% 1.3
1-13 0.4% 0.4
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.3% 7.7% 0.6% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 2.3 1.8 0.9 0.2 91.7 0.6%